Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.157994 1.374165 1.600338 1.853081 2.126173 2.411027 2.729312
2025-01-19 0.893292 1.202783 1.546935 1.951310 2.407403 2.900651 3.469424
2025-01-26 0.767057 1.128705 1.547640 2.055493 2.642850 3.290927 4.050854
2025-02-02 0.678469 1.083029 1.568932 2.173553 2.887031 3.686606 4.636096
2025-02-09 0.620595 1.062924 1.610538 2.306320 3.140224 4.085758 5.219077
2025-02-16 0.549292 1.015129 1.610440 2.382832 3.322657 4.400228 5.703115
2025-02-23 0.468736 0.944047 1.572916 2.406902 3.437349 4.631954 6.088685
2025-03-02 0.363672 0.824073 1.461637 2.330527 3.424095 4.708446 6.290073
2025-03-09 0.271598 0.708484 1.345560 2.239329 3.385639 4.749468 6.445175
2025-03-16 0.208628 0.627519 1.269233 2.193185 3.397658 4.846377 6.662000
2025-03-23 0.176363 0.593423 1.256324 2.228501 3.510109 5.062976 7.019453
2025-03-30 0.142440 0.549664 1.225253 2.236413 3.585610 5.233177 7.320539
2025-04-06 0.101945 0.485512 1.162064 2.202775 3.613441 5.353353 7.573245
2025-04-13 0.091326 0.483838 1.196602 2.306619 3.821659 5.698385 8.100038
2025-04-20 0.084092 0.488199 1.239840 2.422004 4.044335 6.060760 8.647225
2025-04-27 0.079530 0.498222 1.292148 2.550514 4.284734 6.445836 9.222853
2025-05-04 0.077776 0.515076 1.355736 2.695385 4.547032 6.858604 9.832633
2025-05-11 0.067818 0.507321 1.377062 2.778586 4.727365 7.169058 10.318336
2025-05-18 0.052346 0.478479 1.360251 2.804775 4.830860 7.382734 10.685873
2025-05-25 0.029502 0.411985 1.271961 2.721695 4.785131 7.406769 10.820187
2025-06-01 0.012810 0.345946 1.176414 2.622366 4.713485 7.395041 10.908098
2025-06-08 0.004837 0.301686 1.115768 2.572051 4.705389 7.461262 11.089189
2025-06-15 0.002372 0.287371 1.112724 2.610563 4.819480 7.683748 11.463655